7 hours ago
When it comes to AI chipmaking, Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) is the first company most investors think of -- and for good reason. Nvidia commands a 95% share of the data center GPU market, generates hundreds of billions in annual revenue, and has exceptional profit margins.
To be clear, I'm not here to say anything negative about Nvidia as an investment. Even though it has a $4.5 trillion market cap, the chipmaker could still grow much larger, especially if it hits CEO Jensen Huang's ambitious $1 trillion in AI chip revenue by 2027.
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However, I think AMD (NASDAQ: AMD) has an extremely bright future and could be worth far more than its current market cap of $320 billion in the years ahead. In fact, I'm going to make a bold prediction that Nvidia could reach a $2 trillion valuation by 2033 -- just seven years from now. Here's why.
AMD just posted a fantastic 2025, including 34% revenue growth and an all-time high for EPS. Data center revenue soared 39% year over year in the fourth quarter, and the business is highly profitable with several growth engines.
Here's the math. In late 2025, AMD unveiled several growth targets, including a goal of $100 billion in annual data center revenue. CEO Lisa Su said the market for data center chips could reach $1 trillion by 2030, a figure that is more conservative than Nvidia's market growth estimates.
AMD projects 60% annual growth in its data center business for at least the next three to five years, with its overall business growing at a 35% rate-on par with its 2025 growth.
If AMD can achieve a 35% growth rate in revenue for seven years, it would result in about $283 billion in full-year revenue for 2033. That may sound like a huge number -- and it is -- but keep in mind that this is roughly what Nvidia has now based on its latest quarterly revenue guidance. The company currently trades at about 10 times trailing 12-month sales, and if this multiple were to compress to eight times earnings, AMD stock would reach a roughly $2.3 trillion market cap in 2033.
Of course, with data center revenue growing by nearly 40% year-over-year, AMD's AI chip business isn't exactly struggling. But so far, Nvidia has maintained its massive market share.
AMD has some potentially game-changing products set to be released later this year, including the Helios rack-scale platform for AI infrastructure and the new Instinct MI450 chip series. On the CPU side of its business, the company is set to launch the next-generation Venice server CPUs. Some analysts have projected that these developments could cause AMD's data center revenue to surge by over 70% in 2026.
